Topic: UFC 301
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
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- Saturday 05.04.2024 at 06:00 PM ET
- U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
- Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
- Ownership: Endeavor
- Venue: Jeunesse Arena
- Location: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
- Enclosure: Octagon
- TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Paul Felder, Daniel Cormier
- Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
- Post-Fight Interviews: Daniel Cormier
- Attendance: 14,514
- MMA Bouts: 13
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Promotion Links:
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Event Links:
| Bout | Info | |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Pantoja defeats Steve Erceg via Decision, Unanimous | 5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page | |
| José Aldo defeats Jonathan Martinez via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Anthony Smith defeats Vitor Petrino via Submission, Guillotine Choke | 2:00 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page | |
| Michel Pereira defeats Ihor Potieria via Submission, Standing Guillotine Choke | 0:54 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page | |
| Caio Borralho defeats Paul Craig via KO/TKO, Left Cross | 2:10 Round 2 of 3, 7:10 Total Bout Page | |
| Joanderson Brito defeats Jack Shore via KO/TKO, Doctor Stoppage (cut on Shin) | 3:35 Round 2 of 3, 8:35 Total Bout Page | |
| Iasmin Lucindo defeats Karolina Kowalkiewicz via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Myktybek Orolbai defeats Elves Brener via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Drakkar Klose defeats Joaquim Silva via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Mauricio Ruffy defeats Jamie Mullarkey via KO/TKO, Flying Knee and Punches | 4:42 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page | |
| Dione Barbosa defeats Ernesta Kareckaite via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Ismael Bonfim defeats Vinc Pichel via Decision, Unanimous | 3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page | |
| Alessandro Costa defeats Kevin Borjas via KO/TKO, Punches From Back Mount | 1:35 Round 2 of 3, 6:35 Total Bout Page |
Responses Page 13
04.27.2024 | 12:27 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 4 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 200 Points | Tied for 5708th
Pantoja vs. Erceg
Steve Erceg, TKO, R3
What it do, erceg crew.
Steve Erceg, TKO, R3
What it do, erceg crew.
04.27.2024 | 10:26 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 655 Points | Tied for 1913th
Pantoja vs. Erceg
Alexandre Pantoja, DEC
Will I get my 5th main event wrong in a row? Probably. I can see erceg winning but I'll go with the the Brazilian in Brazil in a close fight where erceg lands more but pantoja wins the bigger shots. Don't see either having much success grappling each other. Confidence 5/10
Martinez vs. Aldo
José Aldo, DEC
Biggest question is will Aldo be able to check those deadly leg kicks of Martinez. Aldo is a master at checking them but he's been out for a bit and this is the final fight on his contract so who knows how committed he is. Confidence 3/10
Craig vs. Borralho
Caio Borralho, DEC
Borralho should be smart enough to avoid getting subbed...right? Confidence 7/10
Smith vs. Petrino
Vitor Petrino, TKO, R2
Smith can say whatever he wants to hype himself up but I think he's washed. Petrino is green but shows he can fight through exhaustion & I like that most about him. Confidence 6.5/10
Pereira vs. Potieria
Michel Pereira, TKO, R1
As long as Pereira stays focused and doesn't try to be too entertaining for the Brazilian crowd on a ppv main card he should easily win. The talent level isn't even close between these 2. Confidence 8.5/10
Silva vs. Klose
Drakkar Klose, TKO, R2
Silva is the more dangerous guy but i think klose can push a harder pace. Confidence 5/10
Costa vs. Borjas
Alessandro Costa, DEC
Costa can carry his power late into fights & borjas fades a little more the longer the fight goes plus borjas is from Peru & I'm starting to realize that country is **** at MMA Confidence 6/10
Brito vs. Shore
Joanderson Brito, SUB, R1
Good fight brito is a beast. I doubt shore will have much success trying to grapple brito and brito is way more dangerous. Confidence 6/10
Brener vs. Orolbai
Elves Brener, TKO, R3
Great fight. Orolbai is a good grappler but I don't think he'll be able to control brener all right & I think brener is the more dangerous guy. Confidence 4/10
Silva vs. Gomis
Jean Silva, DEC
Close fight I think Gomis will be the one pushing forward landing the big shots but missing a lot but ultimately getting the decision because Gomis has that soy counter striking style where he's hard to finish but doesn't go enough to get a clear victory. Confidence 5/10
Kowalkiewicz vs. Lucindo
Iasmin Lucindo, SUB, R2
Karolina is somehow on a 4 fight win streak but it isn't against the bottom of the division. I think lucindo runs through her. Confidence 6.5/10
Ruffy vs. Mullarkey
Jamie Mullarkey, DEC
Wasn't impressed by ruffy on contender series. He won because his opponent was gassed from out grappling him all fight but not being able to get a finish. Mullarkey is a punching bag but I think hes a little more well rounded. Confidence 4.5/10
Bonfim vs. Pichel
Ismael Bonfim, DEC
Pichel is the tougher guy but bonfim is the more talented one. Bonfim should beat the 41.5 year old pichel who hasn't fought in 2 Years so if he fumbles this he should be ashamed. This is a gift from the ufc for him. Confidence 6.5/10
Alexandre Pantoja, DEC
Will I get my 5th main event wrong in a row? Probably. I can see erceg winning but I'll go with the the Brazilian in Brazil in a close fight where erceg lands more but pantoja wins the bigger shots. Don't see either having much success grappling each other. Confidence 5/10
Martinez vs. Aldo
José Aldo, DEC
Biggest question is will Aldo be able to check those deadly leg kicks of Martinez. Aldo is a master at checking them but he's been out for a bit and this is the final fight on his contract so who knows how committed he is. Confidence 3/10
Craig vs. Borralho
Caio Borralho, DEC
Borralho should be smart enough to avoid getting subbed...right? Confidence 7/10
Smith vs. Petrino
Vitor Petrino, TKO, R2
Smith can say whatever he wants to hype himself up but I think he's washed. Petrino is green but shows he can fight through exhaustion & I like that most about him. Confidence 6.5/10
Pereira vs. Potieria
Michel Pereira, TKO, R1
As long as Pereira stays focused and doesn't try to be too entertaining for the Brazilian crowd on a ppv main card he should easily win. The talent level isn't even close between these 2. Confidence 8.5/10
Silva vs. Klose
Drakkar Klose, TKO, R2
Silva is the more dangerous guy but i think klose can push a harder pace. Confidence 5/10
Costa vs. Borjas
Alessandro Costa, DEC
Costa can carry his power late into fights & borjas fades a little more the longer the fight goes plus borjas is from Peru & I'm starting to realize that country is **** at MMA Confidence 6/10
Brito vs. Shore
Joanderson Brito, SUB, R1
Good fight brito is a beast. I doubt shore will have much success trying to grapple brito and brito is way more dangerous. Confidence 6/10
Brener vs. Orolbai
Elves Brener, TKO, R3
Great fight. Orolbai is a good grappler but I don't think he'll be able to control brener all right & I think brener is the more dangerous guy. Confidence 4/10
Silva vs. Gomis
Jean Silva, DEC
Close fight I think Gomis will be the one pushing forward landing the big shots but missing a lot but ultimately getting the decision because Gomis has that soy counter striking style where he's hard to finish but doesn't go enough to get a clear victory. Confidence 5/10
Kowalkiewicz vs. Lucindo
Iasmin Lucindo, SUB, R2
Karolina is somehow on a 4 fight win streak but it isn't against the bottom of the division. I think lucindo runs through her. Confidence 6.5/10
Ruffy vs. Mullarkey
Jamie Mullarkey, DEC
Wasn't impressed by ruffy on contender series. He won because his opponent was gassed from out grappling him all fight but not being able to get a finish. Mullarkey is a punching bag but I think hes a little more well rounded. Confidence 4.5/10
Bonfim vs. Pichel
Ismael Bonfim, DEC
Pichel is the tougher guy but bonfim is the more talented one. Bonfim should beat the 41.5 year old pichel who hasn't fought in 2 Years so if he fumbles this he should be ashamed. This is a gift from the ufc for him. Confidence 6.5/10
04.27.2024 | 11:40 PM ET
Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 605 Points | Tied for 2720th
I love Aldo with all my heart no **** but he’s over the hill & he should be fighting young scrappers who will have fun fights with him. Martinez is going to eat him alive!
04.27.2024 | 11:50 PM ET
parlay
Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 700 Points | Tied for 1211th
klose bonfim petrino
04.28.2024 | 7:48 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 600 Points | Tied for 2884th
Pantoja vs. Erceg
Alexandre Pantoja, SUB, R1
Erceg hasn't deserved that title fight yet, that is why he will not be ready for that
Martinez vs. Aldo
Jonathan Martinez, TKO, R2
Aldo should retire he can not be former Aldo
Smith vs. Petrino
Vitor Petrino, TKO, R2
Smith is just tired he will lose and lose to his twin and retire
Pereira vs. Potieria
Ihor Potieria, TKO, R1
I hate the guy who support KILLERS
Craig vs. Borralho
Caio Borralho, SUB, R1
Borrelho can win easily Graig is old enough
Brito vs. Shore
Joanderson Brito, SUB, R1
Brito can defeat easily and get top 15 fighter after that
Kowalkiewicz vs. Lucindo
Iasmin Lucindo, DEC
It is time young fighters should rise
Brener vs. Orolbai
Myktybek Orolbai, SUB, R1
Brener is lucky Oralbai is a monster easy win for him
Silva vs. Gomis
William Gomis, DEC
Silva has another level opponent
Silva vs. Klose
Drakkar Klose, TKO, R2
Klose win by pure ko
Ruffy vs. Mullarkey
Mauricio Ruffy, TKO, R1
Another good ko for Ruffy, Jamie is so chinny
Barbosa vs. Kareckaite
Dione Barbosa, DEC
Barbosa will win at boring fight
Bonfim vs. Pichel
Ismael Bonfim, TKO, R1
Pichel will be knocked out and retire or lose few fights and retire
Costa vs. Borjas
Alessandro Costa, DEC
Costa will be better on the ground and defeat
Alexandre Pantoja, SUB, R1
Erceg hasn't deserved that title fight yet, that is why he will not be ready for that
Martinez vs. Aldo
Jonathan Martinez, TKO, R2
Aldo should retire he can not be former Aldo
Smith vs. Petrino
Vitor Petrino, TKO, R2
Smith is just tired he will lose and lose to his twin and retire
Pereira vs. Potieria
Ihor Potieria, TKO, R1
I hate the guy who support KILLERS
Craig vs. Borralho
Caio Borralho, SUB, R1
Borrelho can win easily Graig is old enough
Brito vs. Shore
Joanderson Brito, SUB, R1
Brito can defeat easily and get top 15 fighter after that
Kowalkiewicz vs. Lucindo
Iasmin Lucindo, DEC
It is time young fighters should rise
Brener vs. Orolbai
Myktybek Orolbai, SUB, R1
Brener is lucky Oralbai is a monster easy win for him
Silva vs. Gomis
William Gomis, DEC
Silva has another level opponent
Silva vs. Klose
Drakkar Klose, TKO, R2
Klose win by pure ko
Ruffy vs. Mullarkey
Mauricio Ruffy, TKO, R1
Another good ko for Ruffy, Jamie is so chinny
Barbosa vs. Kareckaite
Dione Barbosa, DEC
Barbosa will win at boring fight
Bonfim vs. Pichel
Ismael Bonfim, TKO, R1
Pichel will be knocked out and retire or lose few fights and retire
Costa vs. Borjas
Alessandro Costa, DEC
Costa will be better on the ground and defeat
04.28.2024 | 9:10 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 6 of 8 Winners, 2 Perfect, 380 Points | Tied for 5234th
Pereira vs. Potieria
Michel Pereira, TKO, R1
Excellent matchmaking - not many fighters would be willing to get into a brawl with Pereira after his last couple of performances but Potieria is one of them. these guys are gonna slug it out like its street beefs and I think Ihor's going to sleep. Its going to be interesting though to see Pereira against someone bigger than him when he usually towers over his opponents.
Michel Pereira, TKO, R1
Excellent matchmaking - not many fighters would be willing to get into a brawl with Pereira after his last couple of performances but Potieria is one of them. these guys are gonna slug it out like its street beefs and I think Ihor's going to sleep. Its going to be interesting though to see Pereira against someone bigger than him when he usually towers over his opponents.
04.28.2024 | 9:20 AM ET
Fun fact.
Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 670 Points | Tied for 1650th
Orolbai's one loss in his record is to a Russian dude that has one of the most padded records i've ever seen.
Don't know how the hell he managed to lose to him.
Don't know how the hell he managed to lose to him.
04.28.2024 | 9:25 AM ET
Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 615 Points | Tied for 2649th
Khalid Satuev is actually a pretty good fighter but that fight was a robbery anyway, Orolbai won it
04.28.2024 | 9:26 AM ET
Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 625 Points | Tied for 2464th
That was a very bad robbery if you’ve seen the fight. I thought it was a clear win for Orolbai
04.28.2024 | 10:18 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 6 of 8 Winners, 2 Perfect, 380 Points | Tied for 5234th
Craig vs. Borralho
Caio Borralho, DEC
Caio manages to get himself in and out of bad spots in most his fights and goes on to win a decision. As long as he avoids Paul Craig's obvious gameplan, he should be good to do the same here
Brito vs. Shore
Joanderson Brito, TKO, R1
Jack's first fight at FW was really a tune up after the considerably smaller Ricky Simon rocked and subbed him at BW . Brito's so dangerous I could see a worse version of that fight happening here - I think Brito's overwhelming Jack and getting him out of there early
Caio Borralho, DEC
Caio manages to get himself in and out of bad spots in most his fights and goes on to win a decision. As long as he avoids Paul Craig's obvious gameplan, he should be good to do the same here
Brito vs. Shore
Joanderson Brito, TKO, R1
Jack's first fight at FW was really a tune up after the considerably smaller Ricky Simon rocked and subbed him at BW . Brito's so dangerous I could see a worse version of that fight happening here - I think Brito's overwhelming Jack and getting him out of there early
04.28.2024 | 10:19 AM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 6 of 8 Winners, 2 Perfect, 380 Points | Tied for 5234th
Smith vs. Petrino
Vitor Petrino, TKO, R2
hard to trust Anthony Smith to not just be a punching bag at this point in his career but you can't just discount his experience here. Vitor probably gets the KO but if this gets to the ground, it might get interesting
Vitor Petrino, TKO, R2
hard to trust Anthony Smith to not just be a punching bag at this point in his career but you can't just discount his experience here. Vitor probably gets the KO but if this gets to the ground, it might get interesting
04.28.2024 | 12:11 PM ET
Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 645 Points | Tied for 2140th
***, the dude that won even thought that was the wrong decision, you could see it in his face.
04.28.2024 | 12:34 PM ET
Brener vs Orolbai
Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 670 Points | Tied for 1650th
I truly think that Myktybek is the better fighter and he should be the one that wins this one...but Brener is an absolute savage.
I am going to trust Brener to not give up on himself and in true chute boxe style go through hell, bleed a lot, survive extremely dangerous moments and somehow win a dog fight in round 3.
The better fighter will not always win the fight.
I am going to trust Brener to not give up on himself and in true chute boxe style go through hell, bleed a lot, survive extremely dangerous moments and somehow win a dog fight in round 3.
The better fighter will not always win the fight.
04.28.2024 | 1:40 PM ET
Predictions: 5 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 280 Points | Tied for 5553rd
04.28.2024 | 2:32 PM ET
Pantoja vs. Erceg: Pantoja edges out a close one with his Brazilian power.
04.28.2024 | 2:33 PM ET
Martinez vs. Aldo:
Aldo’s legendary leg kicks might secure him the win if he can check Martinez effectively
04.28.2024 | 2:35 PM ET
Smith vs Petrino
Petrino’s determination could lead to a TKO victory over the possibly “washed” Smith.
04.28.2024 | 2:36 PM ET
Brener’s dangerous style might lead to a late TKO victory.
04.28.2024 | 3:47 PM ET
Prediction Comments
Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 525 Points | Tied for 3936th
Craig vs. Borralho
Paul Craig, SUB, R3
If Paul wins, It has to be a finish. Don't be surprised if it's a TKO!
Paul Craig, SUB, R3
If Paul wins, It has to be a finish. Don't be surprised if it's a TKO!
04.28.2024 | 3:57 PM ET
Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 505 Points | Tied for 4180th
"Very bad robbery"??
Orolbay did too much control and too little damage. At the end of rd2 he has mount then Satuev recovers to halfguard and then Orolbay takes side control. It's like the last 60-90 seconds of the round. Orolbay throws one serious punch through that whole time that hits the back of the shoulder of Satuev when he leans away from it.
That was it in terms of dmg or sub attempts and is a good reflection of how much dmg or submission attempts OOrolbay produced compared with how much he focused on grappling control. Just controlling someone is just a change in position, not the primary scoring criteria. Rds 2 and 3 are very close but I'm inclined to agree with Satuev 29-28 based on the main scoring criteria.
Orolbay did too much control and too little damage. At the end of rd2 he has mount then Satuev recovers to halfguard and then Orolbay takes side control. It's like the last 60-90 seconds of the round. Orolbay throws one serious punch through that whole time that hits the back of the shoulder of Satuev when he leans away from it.
That was it in terms of dmg or sub attempts and is a good reflection of how much dmg or submission attempts OOrolbay produced compared with how much he focused on grappling control. Just controlling someone is just a change in position, not the primary scoring criteria. Rds 2 and 3 are very close but I'm inclined to agree with Satuev 29-28 based on the main scoring criteria.