Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva

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Tapology

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Member Since: 2012.01.20
Predictions: 0 | 0.0%
Forum Posts: 33,681
Post Score: 46

04.21.2023 | 4:04 AM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Saturday 07.15.2023 at 07:00 PM ET
U.S. Broadcast: ESPN
Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
Ownership: Endeavor
Venue: UFC Apex
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Enclosure: Octagon
TV Announcers: Brendan Fitzgerald, Daniel Cormier, Dominick Cruz
Ring Announcer: Joe A. Martinez
Post-Fight Interviews: Daniel Cormier
MMA Bouts: 13
Promotion Links:
Event Links:

Bout		Info
Holly Holm vs. Mayra Bueno Silva Overturned to No Contest		0:38 Round 2 of 5, 5:38 Total Bout Page
Jack Della Maddalena defeats Bassil Hafez via Decision, Split		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Francisco Prado defeats Ottman Azaitar via KO/TKO, Ground and Pound		4:05 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Jun Yong Park defeats Albert Duraev via Submission, Rear Naked Choke		4:45 Round 2 of 3, 9:45 Total Bout Page
Norma Dumont defeats Chelsea Chandler via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Nazim Sadykhov defeats Terrance McKinney via Submission, Rear Naked Choke		1:07 Round 2 of 3, 6:07 Total Bout Page
Melsik Baghdasaryan defeats Tucker Lutz via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Victoria Dudakova defeats Istela Nunes via KO/TKO, Injury (dislocated Elbow)		0:34 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Melquizael Costa defeats Austin Lingo via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Evan Elder defeats Genaro Valdéz via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Azat Maksum defeats Tyson Nam via Decision, Split		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Alex Munoz defeats Carl Deaton III via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Ailin Perez defeats Ashlee Evans-Smith via Decision, Unanimous		3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 31
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baremaras

Member Since: 2022.09.10
Predictions: 3,139 | 71.6%
Forum Posts: 1,798
Post Score: -24

07.15.2023 | 5:15 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 540 Points | Tied for 2551st

Maria Silva has infinitely better bjj and better tdd/overall MMA game than istela nunes and dudakova neutralized her with a torn meniscus

I will eat **** and never post on this site again if Dudakova loses

* Edited at 07.15.2023, 5:15 AM ET *

IDPC7

Location: High as NASA
Member Since: 2023.02.25
Predictions: 347 | 65.7%
Forum Posts: 249
Post Score: 146

07.15.2023 | 5:19 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 500 Points | Tied for 2947th

@gliese58i he's definitely going through a lot mentally preparing himself for his last day alive, scary stuff. Dana said **** a fight lets give this guy the death sentence.

"let people sleep on me, and let the doctor wake 'em up" - Jamahal Hill

shaqalicious023

Member Since: 2020.01.22
Predictions: 494 | 65.6%
Forum Posts: 124
Post Score: 76

07.15.2023 | 5:22 AM ET

Analysis and predictions video for Balkan fans

IDPC7

Location: High as NASA
Member Since: 2023.02.25
Predictions: 347 | 65.7%
Forum Posts: 249
Post Score: 146

07.15.2023 | 5:24 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 500 Points | Tied for 2947th

@baremaras I think dudakova is close to a lock, seems like people think nunes only way to win is a ko, but she has no ko's with her hands, and her last ko was 2016, against somebody who also got ko'd in 2 of her following 4 fights after that loss. Nunes does have power in her hands in the first round, but i don't see a knockout. I think dudakova gets a late gnp or sub, or gets a clear decision

"let people sleep on me, and let the doctor wake 'em up" - Jamahal Hill

gliese58i

Location: Sweden
Member Since: 2020.11.10
Predictions: 1,436 | 65.0%
Forum Posts: 10,777
Post Score: 128

07.15.2023 | 5:37 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 565 Points | Tied for 2276th

Dudakova is only a 'lock' on Tapology, Nunes odds has only dropped through the week. It was +275 or so at start now it's +155. I would caution anyone to get into a confirmation bias loop where every iteration of affirmation only makes it seems more surefire that Dudakova is going to win to where you end up putting your mortgage on it while the market is completely in disagreement with your asessment.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

IDPC7

Location: High as NASA
Member Since: 2023.02.25
Predictions: 347 | 65.7%
Forum Posts: 249
Post Score: 146

07.15.2023 | 5:47 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 500 Points | Tied for 2947th

Don't think she is a lock, said she is close to one. Pretty good matchup for her as a debut, but im cool with the market disagreeing, love the odds they brought her down to.

"let people sleep on me, and let the doctor wake 'em up" - Jamahal Hill

IDPC7

Location: High as NASA
Member Since: 2023.02.25
Predictions: 347 | 65.7%
Forum Posts: 249
Post Score: 146

07.15.2023 | 5:50 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 500 Points | Tied for 2947th

Actually wanted to bet nunes, but couldn't get myself to after looking into the fight more

"let people sleep on me, and let the doctor wake 'em up" - Jamahal Hill

baremaras

Member Since: 2022.09.10
Predictions: 3,139 | 71.6%
Forum Posts: 1,798
Post Score: -24

07.15.2023 | 5:53 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 540 Points | Tied for 2551st

Personally, I really dont care about what the market thinks other than the fact that they gave me the opportunity to bet on a -550 favorite at a very veeryyyy delicious -190 and -180

* Edited at 07.15.2023, 5:54 AM ET *

baremaras

Member Since: 2022.09.10
Predictions: 3,139 | 71.6%
Forum Posts: 1,798
Post Score: -24

07.15.2023 | 5:56 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 540 Points | Tied for 2551st

To all the value bettors out there, Dudakova at -170 implies that if they fight 10 times, Dudakova wins roughly 6 times. Do you think that's accurate? Inaccurate? Personally, I think Dudakova wins more than 6 times so literally from any point of view, Dudakova at -170 is in a smash spot

* Edited at 07.15.2023, 5:56 AM ET *

gliese58i

Location: Sweden
Member Since: 2020.11.10
Predictions: 1,436 | 65.0%
Forum Posts: 10,777
Post Score: 128

07.15.2023 | 5:59 AM ET

@baremaras

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 565 Points | Tied for 2276th

Out of curiosity where do you rate them? I have Dudakova at best 60%. -550 as you've alluded to as more correct odds a couple of times is 85% or thereabouts.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

JReynolds47

Location: Plano, Texas
Member Since: 2020.08.31
Predictions: 13,226 | 72.5%
Forum Posts: 7,542
Post Score: 13

07.15.2023 | 6:10 AM ET

Predictions: 13 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 805 Points | Tied for 64th

istela to win a ufc fight: +500

"Jarno Errens, Damir Hadzovic"

baremaras

Member Since: 2022.09.10
Predictions: 3,139 | 71.6%
Forum Posts: 1,798
Post Score: -24

07.15.2023 | 6:28 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 540 Points | Tied for 2551st

I don't think -550 is correct either but I can see why it was set at that price by the bookies on opening odds and its definitely partly justified

I'm really high on Dudakova while simultaneously understanding the r1 danger istela possesses and in my humble opinion Dudakova should be no lower than -250 (roughly 70% chance). In my eyes, anything below -200 on Dudakova starts entering "value" territory

* Edited at 07.15.2023, 6:28 AM ET *

gliese58i

Location: Sweden
Member Since: 2020.11.10
Predictions: 1,436 | 65.0%
Forum Posts: 10,777
Post Score: 128

07.15.2023 | 6:31 AM ET

@baremaras

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 565 Points | Tied for 2276th

Fair enough I appreciate your take.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

Andrew1047

Member Since: 2022.06.18
Predictions: 4,299 | 82.9%
Forum Posts: 1,813
Post Score: -82

07.15.2023 | 6:37 AM ET

Predictions: 4 of 4 Winners, 1 Perfect, 225 Points | Tied for 4024th

Was a bit hesitant about Dudakova but I agree it's a smash spot.

Nunes is a bum who hasn't beaten anyone notable and has lost 4 of her last 5.

Layup for Dudakova.

This user is suspended from posting until 1 year, 5 months, 4 weeks, 2 days, 19 hours, and 13 minutes from now.

Andrew1047

Member Since: 2022.06.18
Predictions: 4,299 | 82.9%
Forum Posts: 1,813
Post Score: -82

07.15.2023 | 6:38 AM ET

Predictions: 4 of 4 Winners, 1 Perfect, 225 Points | Tied for 4024th

Classic Russia vs Brazil fight.

We know who the better mma fighters are.

This user is suspended from posting until 1 year, 5 months, 4 weeks, 2 days, 19 hours, and 13 minutes from now.

ColeBapo

Location: NYC
Member Since: 2023.07.08
Predictions: 210 | 64.3%
Forum Posts: 18
Post Score: 133

07.15.2023 | 6:55 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 540 Points | Tied for 2551st

I'm looking forward to the Lightweight Bout between Ottman Azaitar and Francisco Prado. Azaitar's aggressive style against Prado's technical prowess should make for a good fight. Also, keep an eye on the Welterweight Bout with Jack Della Maddalena and Bassil Hafez. Both fighters have shown great potential and this could be a real breakout moment for either of them.

"Life is not about waiting for the storms to pass, it's about learning to dance in the rain and finding the strength to create your own sunshine."

ShyMi14

Member Since: 2022.04.09
Predictions: 1,246 | 58.7%
Forum Posts: 1
Post Score: 0

07.15.2023 | 6:56 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 625 Points | Tied for 1439th

Nunes vs. Dudakova
Viktoriya Dudakova, DEC
Kim

Andrew1047

Member Since: 2022.06.18
Predictions: 4,299 | 82.9%
Forum Posts: 1,813
Post Score: -82

07.15.2023 | 6:58 AM ET

Predictions: 4 of 4 Winners, 1 Perfect, 225 Points | Tied for 4024th

Nunes is 0-3 in the UFC and was taken down 7 times in the first 2 fights now people are throwing money at her?

I guess this is why people say the bookies always win.

* Edited at 07.15.2023, 7:00 AM ET *

This user is suspended from posting until 1 year, 5 months, 4 weeks, 2 days, 19 hours, and 13 minutes from now.

baremaras

Member Since: 2022.09.10
Predictions: 3,139 | 71.6%
Forum Posts: 1,798
Post Score: -24

07.15.2023 | 7:11 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 540 Points | Tied for 2551st

Istela got mauled on the ground by Yazmin.. a kickboxer...

gliese58i

Location: Sweden
Member Since: 2020.11.10
Predictions: 1,436 | 65.0%
Forum Posts: 10,777
Post Score: 128

07.15.2023 | 7:13 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 565 Points | Tied for 2276th

Yazmin is pretty well rounded imo.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

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#	Member	Picks	Points
1	random knowledge	13 of 13	955
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Topic: UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva

Anonymous Mode

Responses Page 31 « First ‹ Prev … 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 … Next › Last »

Analysis and predictions video for Balkan fans

@baremaras

@baremaras

Prediction Comments

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Responses Page 31
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